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Canadian Trade Intelligence Inc. · Sector Report

Aerospace
& Defence

NORAD · NATO · ITB OBLIGATIONS · FIVE EYES PROCUREMENT · MRO · ALLIED BUDGET INTELLIGENCE · ARCTIC SOVEREIGNTY · DUAL-USE TECHNOLOGY · AUKUS · QUEBEC AEROSPACE CLUSTER
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Canada's aerospace and defence position
Sector context
$16B aerospace cluster and a NATO spending commitment
Canada's aerospace sector generates $16B annually and employs 215,000 Canadians — concentrated in Quebec (Bombardier, Pratt & Whitney Canada, CAE), Ontario (Honeywell, L3Harris), and British Columbia (MDA Space). NATO's 2% GDP spending target, NORAD modernization ($38.6B commitment over 20 years), and allied procurement pipelines create the most sustained defence procurement environment since the Cold War.
Sources: AIAC, DND, Statistics Canada, PSPC

Key signals this sector
NORAD Modernization
$38.6B commitment creates 20-year Canadian supplier pipeline
NORAD modernization — Arctic surveillance, over-the-horizon radar, northern airfield upgrades — represents Canada's largest domestic defence procurement commitment in decades. ITBs (Industrial and Technological Benefits) require prime contractors to generate Canadian economic activity equal to 100% of contract value.
CF-18 Replacement
F-35 contract and ITB obligations reshaping Quebec and Ontario supply chains
Canada's selection of the F-35 triggers ITB obligations worth billions in Canadian industrial work. Lockheed Martin's Canadian industrial partners in Quebec City, Montreal, and Winnipeg are the primary beneficiaries. CAE's simulation work is the largest single Canadian F-35 ITB commitment.
MRO
Maintenance, repair, and overhaul demand from allied air forces
Canadian MRO operators service allied military and civilian fleets — StandardAero (Winnipeg) and Field Aviation lead. CPTPP and CETA enable Canadian MRO firms to bid on Japanese, Australian, and EU military maintenance contracts. NATO interoperability standards are the entry requirement.
Space & Satellites
MDA, Telesat, and Canadian Space Agency in commercial expansion
MDA Space's satellite components, Telesat Lightspeed LEO constellation, and Canadian Space Agency science missions are Canada's space commercial frontier. ESCP-P (Enhanced Satellite Communications Polar) is an active procurement programme creating Canadian commercial satellite demand.

Analysis
CTI Analysis · June 2026 · Defence Industrial Strategy
Canada's defence industrial window is open. It will not stay open.
The Carney government's Defence Industrial Strategy commits $500 billion and structurally advantages Canadian firms for the first time in decades. The companies that position now will shape the supply chains. The ones that wait will find them already assembled.
Read the analysis →

Past issues
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Intelligence
Aerospace & Defence Weekly
Full sector report every Tuesday — NORAD and NATO procurement signals, allied defence spending data, ITB opportunity tracking, MRO market signals, and export control compliance intelligence.
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Reports include SIPRI procurement data, DND contract signals, allied defence budget analysis, and so-what analysis for prime contractors, Tier 2 suppliers, MRO operators, and policy staff.
Written for
  • Aerospace prime contractors and Tier 2 suppliers
  • MRO operators and service firms
  • Defence electronics and systems companies
  • Government policy and procurement staff
  • Aerospace workers and community leaders